MP Materials Corp (NYSE:MP) stock was last seen down 1.2% at $58.46, heading for its fourth-straight loss. The shares are still up 128% year-over-year, however, with the rare earth manufacturer now retesting support from the 260-day moving average.
According to Schaeffer’s Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, MP is trading within 0.75 times the 260-day moving average’s 20-day average true range (ATR), after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above that trendline. This setup has appeared just four times during the last decade. One month later, the stock was higher every time after these signals, averaging an impressive 29.7% gain. A comparable rally from current levels would place MP Materials stock at $76.
Short covering could help fuel gains. Short interest represents 19.2% of MP’s available float, and would take shorts over four days to cover at the stock’s average pace of trading.