Today’s question: how far does the next ASX session dip?
Exact conditions, combined with AND (Mosaic Data Lab):
– AUS200 ASX SESSION (PRIOR DAY) >= +20 points
– AUS200 FIRST HOUR (PRIOR DAY) <= -20 points
12 completed sessions matched since September 2021.
AUS200 ASX SESSION LOW (session low vs the 10am open), 12 sessions:
– All 12 traded below the open; 10 of 12 at least 30 points below.
– Average -46.4 points; median -45; range -84 to -6.
Related outcomes:
– AUS200 ASX SESSION: average -3.8 points over 12 sessions (5 higher, 7 lower).
– AUS200 FIRST HOUR: average -15.3 points over 12 sessions (3 higher, 9 lower).
Chart: Trade Nation AUS200. The public Historical Context Levels indicator draws the 12 AUS200 ASX SESSION LOW outcomes (Low, raw point offsets: -84, -83, -66, -58, -49, -48, -42, -40, -36, -30, -15, -6) from 8,813.2, the Trade Nation AUS200 price observed at 08:02 Brisbane on 16 October 2026. This is a provisional overnight price reference, not the session open, so the levels illustrate the historical spread rather than price targets. Closing moves do not show the intraday path or the order of moves.
These are frequencies from a small, selected historical sample, not forecast probabilities or trading signals. Today’s session also matches the setup; its outcome is not yet known.