*Key Levels

345 ā†’ Next major liquidity / demand zone

365ā€“375 ā†’ Overhead supply / key reclaim level

*Macro Context

MSFT just broke down the 365ā€“375 HTF value zone with a strong weekly bearish candle.
This isnā€™t random movement ā€” itā€™s structure driven by macro headwinds.
Selling pressure remains persistent with no clear sign of exhaustion.
In this type of environment, price doesnā€™t stabilize mid-range ā€” it seeks the next liquidity pocket.

*Structure

365ā€“375 = Prior HTF value ā†’ now lost / flipped to supply
Current behavior = acceptance below value
No meaningful support until ~345
Bottoms donā€™t form randomly.
They form where liquidity + positioning + demand align ā€” and weā€™re not there yet.

Scenarios

  • Primary (Higher Probability)

Continued weakness ā†’ flush into 345
This is where buyers are most likely to step in
Ideal setup = fast selloff + sharp reaction (V-shape type response)

  • Alternative (Worse Case)

Price rebounds into 365ā€“375
Gets rejected at supply
Leads to slow grind lower over weeks/months
This is the most frustrating scenario ā€” time decay, no clean entry, no momentum.

Plan

  • Long-term buyers

Scale in at 345 and below
Or wait for clean reclaim above 375

  • Short-term traders

Wait for:
345 rejection (confirmation of demand)
OR breakout above 375 + hold
No edge in the middle.

Final Note

I took a loss around 400 ā€” part of the game.
This is why we follow structure, not bias.