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Home / Analysis / Commodity Analysis / Bearish Continuation Setup Channel Break & Retest

Bearish Continuation Setup Channel Break & Retest

In my previous analysis, I outlined a scenario where a break below the green dashed line before any corrective bounce would signal a bearish market structure.

This update builds on that idea with a slight variation:

Price has now broken below the lower boundary of the ascending channel, found temporary support at the blue dashed line (1.15030), and made a corrective bounce back to retest the channel. Following this retest, price has started to reject and move downward again.

Key Insight:
A confirmed break below the blue dashed line (1.15030) strengthens the bearish bias and suggests continued downside momentum.

Bearish Confirmation:
On the D1 timeframe, the formation of the Three Black Crows pattern indicates that sellers have gained control from buyers, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Trade Setup:

– Entry: 1.15030
– Stop Loss: 1.15510
– Take Profit 1: 1.1472
– Take Profit 2: 1.1440
– Take Profit 3: 1.1391

This setup aligns with both price action and candlestick confirmation, providing a structured approach to capturing potential downside movement.

Trade safe and manage risk accordingly.

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