We all know that, while yesterday’s positive news led to a drop in Bitcoin prices—a sign that this was a bull market phase— whereas the period from August 17–18 marked a turning point, because Bitcoin and crypto had already absorbed negative sentiment earlier than other markets. Bitcoin experienced a shift in negative sentiment on September 17 (the Fed’s interest rate hike)—which, under normal circumstances, would cause Bitcoin to fall as its liquidity is completely drained, but as I mentioned, the bear market is over; it’s extremely difficult to find a lower price. People always predict the absolute bottom will be in Q4, and some align it with a 364-day cycle—but in reality, all of that is just a coincidence. Is the 4-year cycle over? The answer is no. During the 2024–2025 bull cycle, the rally wasn’t driven by euphoria and lasted so long that buyers grew tired of accumulating. Meanwhile, in 2026, Bitcoin has already endured six consecutive months of losses, causing sellers to grow weary and the market to absorb the heavy accumulation that occurred last summer.
Why is it unlikely we’ll get a bottom price? Let’s talk about market makers like major brokers (the one with the yellow logo)—we can guess who was behind the crash on October 10, 2025. What we know is that they won’t let you buy at a very low price; they’d suffer huge losses if they did.
Furthermore, we can also predict that if there’s an extended period of market saturation (following a short-lived bull market without euphoria, coupled with an AI narrative that absorbs too much liquidity, followed by a rapid and deep decline in 2026), we can expect many retail investors to be exhausted and worn out. Consequently, it’s likely that many have already sold off their Bitcoin and crypto holdings, as they see the U.S. stock market and tech stocks all performing as multi-baggers. this time we can also see the true narrative behind AI, which is tokenization—that is what likely has Bitcoin’s price already factored in; they won’t let retail investors get a bargain on Bitcoin and crypto; Bitcoin will remain a safe haven, while major cryptos like ETH, SOL, LINK, HYPE, XRP, and ZCASH will form the core foundation. The Clarity Act isn’t dead either—it will simply be re-regulated. That’s why prices continue to rise even though the Clarity Act failed to pass the vote on September 15, 2026. However, the House has taken the lead to ensure that BTC and cryptocurrencies—especially those with strong narratives and ETFs—will be granted a legal framework.
What’s left for retail investors? Yesterday, everyone expected prices to drop after the 17th; in fact, many retail traders made the foolish mistake of going against the market trend. Many analysts assured us that there would be another bottom or a price correction, leading to traders’ overconfidence and causing them to forget the fundamental principle that market makers won’t give you a cheap price—because we all know that digitalization is the future, and sooner or later, Bitcoin and crypto will be widely adopted.
From here, your choice is to DCA or jump in. I understand how frustrated you must feel for not being able to accumulate at lower prices—especially during the 58–64k range—and also during yesterday’s correction at 75k, when people assumed prices would drop to 45k or even 30k. Here, it’s clear that Bitcoin has broken above the 50-week moving average, which means the bear market is over. From the lessons of 2023 and previous cycles, we can see that once Bitcoin has crossed the 50-week moving average, it’s very difficult for another downtrend to take hold.
But the good news—which you may have forgotten—is that you can use low leverage (2x to a maximum of 4x **I do not recommend 5x or higher**) to catch up on your missed buying opportunities. Don’t dare to use leverage when Bitcoin is already in the 90k range or higher, because a reversal can happen very easily. But in the current range, you can see from historical data that a reversal is very unlikely to occur because the market makers don’t want you to buy it at a low price.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Hope this is helpful, and see you in 2028–2029 or even 2035 (especially for BITCOIN)
i believe BTC will be near 1million before 2040 .