
š 1. Market Structure
There was an ascending channel (purple lines) ā it was broken below.
This = structure change ā bullish ā bearish (short-term)
The last move is a strong downward impulse (breakdown).
š Conclusion: short-term trend = downward.
š 2. Key Levels
š“ Support:
607ā611 ā currently tested (very important)
582 ā next target
545 ā deep target (if panic selling)
š¢ Resistance:
636
656
685 ā key HTF resistance
ā ļø 3. What just happened
Breakdown from the channel
Loss of level ~636
Now you are testing the demand zone ~610
This is the market’s decision point.
š 4. Indicators
Stoch RSI:
In the oversold zone
But WARNING ā in a downtrend, it may stay there for a long time.
MACD:
Crossover down
Histogram falling ā momentum bearish
š Conclusion: no reversal signal (yet)
š® 5. Scenarios
š„ Scenario 1 (more likely now):
ā”ļø Break 607 ā going lower
target: 582
then even 545
This will be a continuation of the downtrend.
šØ Scenario 2 (bounce):
ā”ļø Defense 607 + quick return to:
620ā630
Then:
short squeeze
return to 636 ā 656
š© Scenario 3 (bullish) Only):
ā”ļø Only a return above 656ā685
= trend change
