đź“Š The impact of the Middle East conflict on gold exhibits a three stage pattern: short term impulse, medium term divergence, and long term anchoring. Key focus on three core variables: oil price transmission, interest rate expectations, and USD strength.
💰 A stronger US dollar and rising real yields directly weigh on gold prices. If the conflict strengthens USD credibility or tightens liquidity, gold’s safe haven appeal may be offset.
❗ Short term support: 4,380–4,420 USD
❗ Strong support: 4,300–4,350 USD
đź“Ś Resistance levels
❗ Short term resistance: 4,380–4,550 USD
âť— Strong resistance: 4,600 USD
đź’Ž Long only trading strategy
🟢 Entry range: 4,360–4,400 USD
🟢 Short term take profit: 4,550–4,600 USD
âš Risk warning
🔥 Fed meetings, inflation data, and US Iran tensions are the biggest variables and may trigger sharp gaps.
🔥 Strictly implement stop losses; avoid holding losing positions, do not overleverage, and limit single trade risk relative to total capital.