Phase: 1
Date & Time: 2026-02-01 19:06 -5 GMT
Primary Entry M: 25,316.4 $
Secondary Entry P(c): 24,981.3$
Mean Entry: (25,316.4+24,981.3)/2=25,148.85$
Trapezoid Time Duration: 19 Days
3th Triangle domain (%): 2 * 1.91% = 3.82%
Risk coefficient (R): 3
Risk domain (%) (D): (3th Triangle domain) *(Risk coefficient) = 3.82%*3 = 11.46 %
Hypothetical Capital: 100,000$
Contract Size: 10 Unit
Expected Max Drawdown (%): 5%
Expected Max Drawdown $ (EMDD): 100,000 * 5% = 5,000
Expected Low Price: (1 – 11.46%) * 25,148.85$ = 22,266.8$
Size: 5,000 / (25,148.85 – 22,266.8) ~= 1.74 Unit
Position Size: Size/Contract Size = 1.74 /10 = 0.17
Each Trade Size = 0.17 /2 = 0.08
Targets:
T1 (Mirror / Lower Trapezoid): 25,425$
T2 (Apex N): 25,800 $
T3 (Trapezoid Top): 26,242$
Expected Profit by first entry and Exit at T3 for Scenario No 1:
(T3 – Entry M) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (26,242 -25,316.4) *10*0.08= 740$
Expected Total Profit for Scenario No 1: 740$
Expected Return % for Scenario No 1: 100*(740/100,000) = 0.74%
Expected Annual Return% for Scenario No 1: (0.74%*365/29) =9.31%
Expected Profit by 2th entry and Exit at T2 for Scenario No 2:
(T3 – Entry M) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (26,242 -25,316.4) *10*0.08= 740$
(T2 – Entry P(c)) * Contract Size * Each Trade Size = (25,800 -24,981.3) *10*0.08= 655$
Expected Total Profit for Scenario No 2: 740+655=1,395$
Expected Return% for Scenario No 2: 100*(1,395/100,000) =1.39%
Expected Annual Return% for Scenario No 2: 1.39%*365/19=26.7%
Notes: P(c) may or may not be reached; both M and P(c) are Phase 1 only.
“Both trade sizes are calculated using the hypothetical capital, the investor’s maximum allowed drawdown, the 3rd Triangle Domain percentage, the Risk Coefficient, and the Contract Size.”
TotalSize=(EMDD=5000)/(2*D*R*MeanPrice*ContractSize)
Phase:3
Date & Time: 2026-02-02 12:06 -5 GMT
Before the price touches the trapezoid on delayed mirror, climbed to the N price level, reaching 25,800$.
Up to this point, the initial position was opened at 25,316.4$ on M level and the Phase3 is completed by reaching the Price at 25,800$. So the price has not retraced down to the P(c) level. Will the next phase be Phase 2? We are navigating the market to see what happens next.
Phase: 2
Current Date & Time: 2026-02-25 16:00 -5 GMT
The Price touched the Trapezoid Lower Boundary at 25,425$, and this event happed after phase3 and out of the Trapezoid Right Time Boundary by 5 days’ delay.
Up to this point, the price has 24,138.7$ retraced down and the initial position was opened at 25,316.4$ and 24,981.3$ on M and P(c) level is opened. So the Phase 2 is completed by reaching the Price at 25,425$. Will the next phase be Phase 4? We are navigating the market to see what happens next.
Phase: 4
Current Date & Time: 2026-04-15 22:40 EST
After the first position was entered at level M, the price initially moved upward and rose to level N. This movement allowed, throughout Phase 3, for half of the open positions to be closed, resulting in $193 being secured in the Safety Buffer.
Subsequently, the price declined to 24,138, which led to both positions M and P(c) being fully activated. As the process continued, the trapezoid time window came to an end and the transition to a higher cycle took place. With the price successfully reaching Phase 2 and half of the positions being released, the Safety Buffer increased to $414, while the Structural Risk Boundary was set at 21,765.
Finally, as the price reached level N and then the top of the trapezoid, all positions were closed, resulting in a total profit of $1,317 and the Cycle is completed too.
Realized Return (%): 100*(1,317/100,000) = 1.32%
The lowest price along this path was $22,782, which led to the storage of the maximum field for the continuation of the path. Furthermore, the maximum capital drawdown is calculated as follows:
(22,782$-25,148.85$) *10*0.16 + 414 = -3,373$
Max Drawdown (%): 100*(-3,373/100,000) =-3.73%
Trapezoid Time Duration: 19 Days
Realized Time Duration: 72 Days
