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Home / Analysis / Forex Analysis / MASTERCARD Channel Down, ideal for a short.

MASTERCARD Channel Down, ideal for a short.

It’s been 5 months (November 25 2025, see chart below) since we gave a major Sell Signal on Mastercard (MA), targeting $450 long-term following its 1D Death Cross:

MASTERCARD 1st 1D Death Cross in 2.5 years confirms Bear Cycle

So far the signal is right on track towards our Target and on a lower time-frame (1D) the recent rebound poses as another sell opportunity.

That is because technically that is the Bullish Leg of the 9-month Channel Down and it almost reached the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Even though it can technically rise to as high as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the 1D RSI is almost on its Lower Highs trend-line, which is where all of Mastercard’s last 4 major Sells in the last 15 months occurred.

If Friday was the latest Lower High then, our $450 Target would be just above the 1W MA250 (red trend-line), which is where the October 10 2022 Bear Cycle bottom was priced. It is also the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, where the previous two Lower Lows where priced at.

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