
Technical analysis:
1ļøā£Š”CI – above +100. To confirm an upward move, it would be good to wait for a decline first.
2ļøā£RSI – Between 50 and 70. Neutral, but there was an earlier rebound from 50. Could indicate growth without a significant pullback.
3ļøā£Levels:
šø61.8% Fibonacci retracement = 88.03 + set up = 87.59 – potential stop on an upward move.
šø50% Fibonacci retracement = 86.29 + first uptrend = 85.74 – potential stop on an upward move.
šøVolume block 88.97 – 90.08 + first extension up = 91.03 – potential stop on an upward move.
4ļøā£Larger TF (h4) – very high volume at 82 – 88. At the 61.8% Fibonacci level, there is potential to encounter resistance at 200 EMA
5ļøā£Price movement forecast – on the chart.
Entry, stop, take:
šøEntry: Buy. From current levels (quite dangerous) or after breaking above the 50 EMA + breaking through high volume 2 = 85.90
šøStop: Preliminary beyond the peak of 79.95
šøTake: TP on high volume 1 = 93.90. Alternatively, any of the levels in the list above
šøRisk/Reward: 2.98 on high volume 1
šøExecution: Within a week
Cancellation
šøSharp drop beyond the peak of 79.95
Fundamental
1ļøā£ Fear Index: 8 (Extreme Fear) ā š¢ Positive for SOL
One of the lowest values āāin 2026.
2ļøā£ BTC Dominance: 56.27% ā š“ Negative for SOL
Capital in BTC, change of 1% since last week.
3ļøā£ SSR: 10.07 (low) ā š¢ Positive for SOL
Lots of free stablecoins relative to BTC’s market cap. There’s a good chance of buying.
4ļøā£ ETH/BTC: 0.0327 (14th month below 0.05) ā š“ Negative for SOL
While ETH is underperforming BTC, all altcoins are under pressure overall.
5ļøā£ BTC/S&P 500 Correlation: ~0.74 (30 days, high 2026) ā š“ Negative for SOL
High correlation with the stock market.
6ļøā£ Funding Rate (SOL): -0.0009 ā āŖ Neutral
There aren’t many shorts, although they dominate int the moment.
7ļøā£ Open Interest (SOL): ~$5.05ā5.34B ā āŖ Neutral
OI is moderate, without extreme overheating.
8ļøā£ Liquidations (24h): ~$10ā13M, mostly shorts ā āŖ Neutral
Moderate volume.
9ļøā£ CVD Spot vs. Perps (SOL): Futures CVD -$4.4M for the week. Spot CVD -318K SOL for the week ā š“ Negative for SOL
Selling on both futures and spot.
š SOL ETF Flows: -$10.4M in the last week of March, 3 days of outflows in a row. ā š“ Negative for SOL.
Institutions are reducing exposure.
1ļøā£1ļøā£ DEX Volume: ~$2.0B/24h. ā āŖ Neutral
Solana is leading the trading, but the number of traders has decreased. Whales are interested in the $78ā$90 range and are not accumulating. Selling was prevalent at the end of March.
Conclusion: šš» Neutral with a slight downside. There is potential for a reversal, but a trigger is needed, and we know what it is.
