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Home / Analysis / Forex Analysis / Nice View of the S&P 500

Nice View of the S&P 500

(Not investment advice, just my outlook)

There is a lot here.
Hopefully it is helpful.

I will post more timeframes for perspective as I have time, but this current count is possible and as far as the psychology patterns we see in markets, it lines up along with the guidelines and wave-counts. Very interesting.

I didn’t put a red path, because you wouldn’t like that one.
So let’s be positive.

I will tag some related posts as well that I think are helpful.
Currently I think the green and orange paths are more probable that the Yellow.

Green Path = No marines are placed on the islands surrounding Iran and Trump full TACO’s, and it somehow works with Iran and they decide they’re tired of fighting as well.

Yellow path = No marines are placed on the islands, Trump partially TACO’s or tries to, but Iran says no and continues to strike Israel, until he full TACO’s.

Orange path = Marines are placed on the islands, take it over, Iran responds and bombs large refineries, shooting Oil to $200/barrel and the 10 year yield to 6-7%. It’s painful, but is resolved by mid-summer. Trump being pressured by constituents and representatives that endorsed him will cave and need to find a way to bow out or kill enough IRGC leadership without demolishing Iran to take over the strait and secure the petrodollar.

Red path = China becomes involved, or the war grows larger involving more countries. Extended war and closure of the strait along with destruction of further supply chains, the global depression will begin and deglobalization will accelerate again. Minimum 10-15 years until new highs, until enough demand destruction has occurred to reset prices. Most likely involves a collapse of the current monetary system of a debt-based currency, as well as a collapse of the current governmental systems. A true 4th turning if you will.

—-News From Today—-
“More than 3,500 U.S. troops, including the USS Tripoli with about 2,500 Marines, arrived in the Middle East, officials announced Saturday, as strikes in the Iran war intensified.

The U.S. Central Command said in a social media post that the USS Tripoli, which serves as the flagship for the Tripoli Amphibious Ready Group / 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, arrived in its area of responsibility.”

“Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Friday the United States can meet its objectives “without any ground troops.” But he also said President Trump “has to be prepared for multiple contingencies” and that American forces are available “to give the president maximum optionality and maximum, opportunity to adjust to contingencies should they emerge.”

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