Everyone is positioned for a weaker dollar and is talking about inflation, twin deficits, and long-term USD decline. But markets donāt move on long-term narratives always, rather sometimes they move on liquidity stress.And right now, weāre entering a regime where USD demand can spike aggressively in the short term. The key driver: Global USD shortage…
The SPY delivered a clean +20 point move today ā and the Institutional Pivot Matrixā¢ mapped the level before it happened. This wasnāt random.This was institutional structure. In todayās recap, I break down: ā¢ The exact accumulation/distribution level that triggered the moveā¢ How liquidity pressure confirmed the reversalā¢ Why the move expanded into a full…
The WTI crude oil remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 8750 ā a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 8750 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 10200…
What recent news has influenced gold prices? How should we assess the future direction of gold? US President Donald Trump stated that Iran has offered a “gift” to demonstrate its goodwill in negotiations, saying it relates to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. China urged Iran to engage in dialogue with the US, and…
The Fedās Core Dilemma: The Difficult Balance Between Curbing Inflation and Stabilizing Growth The “stagflationary” pressures stemming from oil prices have plunged the Federal Reserve into an unprecedented policy dilemma. On one hand, persistent inflationārunning above target and compounded by energy shocksārisks de-anchoring inflation expectations if price increases are left unchecked; consequently, the Fed must…
The GBPUSD continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a short tern resistance breakout, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds. Key Level: 1.3490This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.A failed test and rejection at 1.3490…
š”AUDUSD may still produce some short-term rebound, but the main weekly-chart reading still favors a distribution scenario near the top. šOn the chart, the 0.60ā0.61 region showed relevant buying defense in the past, with notable volume at the lows, which suggests prior accumulation. The 0.64 area then acted as an important structural support/resistance zone before…
Intraday Narrative: NQ has delivered a sell-side liquidity sweep during London, taking out prior lows. In contrast, YM has already swept London lows, creating SMT divergence, indicating relative strength in NQ at the lows. Price is currently trading into a 1H BISI (imbalance), suggesting a potential area of reaction. Holding above this imbalance keeps the…
Momentum: BullishPrice is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 1.37727– Pullback support– 50% Fib retracement– 61.8% Fib projection Stop Loss: 1.37503– Swing low support Take Profit: 1.38000– Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money…
Amidst the chaos and extreme volatility of the past 2 weeks, WTI Oil (USOIL) seems to be stabilizing. Not ‘trusting’ it of course completely due to the fluid geopolitical situation but on the short-term it did break below its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in 1 month, giving us a pattern to…
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