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Home / Analysis / Forex Analysis / USDJPY (4H) | LONG TRADE

USDJPY (4H) | LONG TRADE

πŸ” Chart Read (Structure)
Clear ABCDE triangle βœ”οΈ
Price respecting:
Descending resistance (b β†’ d)
Ascending support (a β†’ c β†’ e)
Current position: near completion of wave E

πŸ‘‰ This is typically the final compression before expansion

⚑ Bias: BULLISH BREAKOUT (Primary Scenario)

Why:

Triangle = continuation pattern
Likely part of wave (IV) β†’ next move = wave (III) or (V) expansion
Price holding higher lows βœ”οΈ
Liquidity building below E βœ”οΈ

πŸš€ Trade Plan (BUY SETUP)

🟒 Entry Options:
βœ… Aggressive Entry:
159.20 – 159.50 (current zone)
Enter on strong bullish candle / momentum push

βœ… Safer Entry (Best):
Break & retest of trendline (~159.60–159.80)

πŸ›‘ Stop Loss:
158.20 – 158.00
(Below wave E low + triangle support)
🎯 Targets:

🎯 Target 1:
160.80
(Triangle height projection / prior resistance)
🎯 Target 2:
162.00
πŸ”₯ Target 3 (Main Expansion):
163.20 – 163.50
(Your marked wave III zone βœ”οΈ)

πŸ“Š Risk–Reward:

Easy 1:3+ RR
If breakout is strong β†’ can extend further
⚠️ Invalidation Scenario (Important)

If price:

Breaks below 158.00 with strong close

πŸ‘‰ Then:

Triangle failed ❌

Expect liquidity sweep β†’ downside move
🧠 LIQ TRADING Insight
Wave E usually traps sellers
Smart money:
Accumulates near support
Breaks out violently

πŸ‘‰ That green zone you marked = perfect expansion projection

⚑ Execution Tip (Pro Level)

Wait for one of these:

Trendline breakout + retest
Liquidity sweep below E β†’ immediate reversal (best entry)
High momentum breakout candle

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