Bitcoin Falls as Fed Turns Cautious and Oil Prices Surge. Can 70K Support Hold?
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Bitcoin Falls as Fed Turns Cautious and Oil Prices Surge. Can 70K Support Hold?

BTC falls back from 76k to test 70k The prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates weighs on markets Rising Treasury yields tighten liquidity Soaring oil prices increase inflation worries BTC Technical Analysis has fallen sharply from its weekly high of $76K after the Federal Reserve left unchanged, as expected, but signalled a more cautious approach to…

What are the main events for today?
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What are the main events for today?

EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we get three central bank policy decisions. The SNB is expected to hold interest rates unchanged at 0.0%. The focus will be on central bank’s signals about potential intervention in the currency market after EUR/CHF fell to 0.90 recently amid the US-Iran conflict. The BoE is expected to leave…

UK January ILO unemployment rate 5.2% vs 5.3% expected
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UK January ILO unemployment rate 5.2% vs 5.3% expected

Prior 5.2% Employment change 84k vs -4k expected Prior 52k Average weekly earnings +3.9% vs +3.9% 3m/y expected Prior +4.2% Average weekly earnings (ex bonus) +3.8% vs +4.0% 3m/y expected Prior +4.2%; revised to +4.1% February payrolls change 20k Prior -11k; revised to 6k There are quite a few positives to note, one that the…

US explores use of govt insurance in escorting ships through Strait of Hormuz – report
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US explores use of govt insurance in escorting ships through Strait of Hormuz – report

The FT reports on the matter, noting that US president Trump has given his word that the US would insure commercial vessels seeking passage through the Strait of Hormuz. And the US administration has looked into how to go about that by exploring plans to tie it with government insurance. To be more specific, it…

Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump considering sending troops into Iran
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Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Trump considering sending troops into Iran

At a glance: Oil surges as strikes hit major Middle East energy infrastructure South Pars and Ras Laffan targeted, escalating LNG supply risks Iran launches multi-country retaliation across Gulf and US-linked assets Qatar LNG facilities hit twice, fires and extensive damage reported Trump signals de-escalation on South Pars but issues extreme retaliation threat US weighing…

Australian February 2026 unemployment rate 4.3% (expected 4.1%, prior 4.1%)
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Australian February 2026 unemployment rate 4.3% (expected 4.1%, prior 4.1%)

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not…

New Zealand growth undershoots as domestic demand softens
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New Zealand growth undershoots as domestic demand softens

New Zealand Q4 GDP misses expectations, momentum faded into year-end Summary: Q4 GDP undershoots expectations on both quarterly and annual measures Growth slows sharply from prior quarter, signalling fading momentum Production-based GDP +0.2% q/q vs +1.1% prior Annual growth holds at 1.3% y/y, missing forecasts Expenditure-based GDP weaker at +0.1% q/q NZD briefly volatile, then…

Trump says does not want more strikes on Iran energy facilities, then says “but”
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Trump says does not want more strikes on Iran energy facilities, then says “but”

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not…

Reports that Trump is gearing up his military to take control of the Strait of Hormuz
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Reports that Trump is gearing up his military to take control of the Strait of Hormuz

KAN reports that Israel flags U.S. military buildup toward possible Hormuz intervention Summary: Israel sees signs of a U.S. military buildup near the Strait of Hormuz U.S. warship Tripoli reportedly en route as part of preparations Operation aimed at breaking Iran’s blockade of key oil shipping route Campaign could last several weeks depending on Iranian…

Americas FX news wrap 18 Mar; Powell more hawkish on inflation.USD/yields up
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Americas FX news wrap 18 Mar; Powell more hawkish on inflation.USD/yields up

The Federal Reserve Rates unchanged as expected. Looking at the dot plot, the expectations for the end of 2026 and 2027 remain the same at 3.4% and 3.1% respectively. Looking at the economic numbers for 2026 compared to the December, PCE inflation moved up from 2.4% to 2.7% while core PCE also rose from 2.5%…

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